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How Much Is My Business Worth?

A valuation starts with the numbers. What someone is willing to pay depends on much more.

AcquisitionsOctober 1, 20267 min read
AuthorMatt Ruehl
How Much Is My Business Worth?

For most business owners, there eventually comes a moment when a simple question becomes surprisingly difficult to answer: What is my business actually worth?

Maybe another owner sold a company for six times EBITDA. Maybe a broker suggested a number. Maybe a competitor was acquired at a valuation that seemed unusually high. Those reference points can be useful, but they can also create the impression that valuing a private business is little more than applying the right multiple to the right earnings number.

It isn't.

Two businesses producing exactly the same amount of profit can have dramatically different values. One may have recurring customers, a strong management team, consistent margins, clean financials, and very little dependence on its owner. The other may depend heavily on a handful of customers, operate primarily through the founder, and produce earnings that move significantly from year to year.

The income statements may look similar. The businesses are not.

That is why understanding what your company is worth begins with EBITDA, but it does not end there.

Start With the Earnings of the Business

For many established private companies, buyers begin valuation discussions with EBITDA: earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is an imperfect measure, but it provides a useful way to compare the operating earnings of businesses that may have different financing structures, tax situations, or capital histories.

The important word in a transaction, however, is often not EBITDA. It is adjusted or normalized EBITDA.

Privately held companies frequently contain expenses that would not continue under new ownership. An owner may run a vehicle through the company, employ a family member, pay himself above or below market compensation, incur a one-time legal expense, or make an unusual investment that is unlikely to recur. A buyer will typically work through those items to estimate what the business would earn under normal operations.

Some adjustments are straightforward. Others are judgment calls.

That distinction matters because every dollar added to normalized EBITDA can affect valuation by several dollars once a multiple is applied. Buyers therefore tend to examine adjustments carefully rather than simply accepting every proposed add-back.

The objective should not be to manufacture the highest possible EBITDA number. It should be to arrive at an earnings figure that both sides believe fairly represents the ongoing economics of the business.

The Multiple Is Where the Business Tells Its Story

Once normalized EBITDA has been established, valuation is often discussed as a multiple of that number. A business generating $1 million of EBITDA at a five-times multiple would imply an enterprise value of approximately $5 million.

The arithmetic is easy.

Determining whether the appropriate multiple is four times, five times, six times, or something else is considerably harder.

A multiple is ultimately a reflection of how a buyer views the durability and risk of the company's future cash flows. The more confidence a buyer has that those earnings will continue—and potentially grow—the more valuable those earnings generally become.

That is why the characteristics behind the EBITDA number matter so much.

A company with repeat or recurring revenue is generally easier to underwrite than one that starts every January at zero. A diversified customer base creates less risk than having one customer represent 40 percent of revenue. Consistent margins provide more confidence than several years of unpredictable results.

Management depth matters as well. If the owner is the primary salesperson, estimator, relationship manager, recruiter, and problem solver, the company may be profitable but difficult to transfer. If capable leaders already run much of the business, ownership can change without disrupting the engine that produces the earnings.

The same principle applies to reputation, employee retention, competitive position, capital requirements, industry dynamics, and opportunities for future growth.

The multiple isn't just a number assigned to EBITDA. It is the market's assessment of the quality of the business producing it.

What Tends to Reduce Value

Some of the biggest valuation issues are not visible in a company's headline revenue or profit.

Customer concentration is one of the clearest examples. Losing a customer representing three percent of revenue is inconvenient. Losing one representing 35 percent can fundamentally change the economics of the business.

Owner dependence creates a similar problem. Many successful entrepreneurs build businesses around themselves because doing so works remarkably well for years. Customers know the owner. Employees go to the owner. Important decisions run through the owner. Eventually, however, the same involvement that helped create the company can make transferring it more difficult.

Poor financial reporting can create uncertainty even when the underlying business is excellent. Buyers become cautious when they cannot easily reconcile financial statements, understand margins, identify customer profitability, or determine how earnings were generated.

Other factors can have similar effects: inconsistent margins, unusually high capital requirements, customer churn, unresolved legal issues, deferred investment, employee concentration, declining markets, or a weak pipeline.

None of these necessarily makes a business unsellable. They simply affect the amount of risk a buyer believes they are assuming.

And risk affects value.

What Tends to Increase Value

The businesses that tend to command stronger valuations often share a surprisingly simple set of characteristics.

Their customers continue buying from them. Revenue is reasonably diversified. Margins are healthy and understandable. Financial reporting is clean. Employees know how the business operates. Managers can make decisions without waiting for the owner. The company has a strong reputation in a market where customers genuinely need what it provides.

Perhaps most importantly, the earnings feel durable.

A buyer looking at five years of stable performance from a company with long-standing customers and a capable leadership team can make assumptions about the future with greater confidence. That confidence has economic value.

Growth can add another dimension, particularly when there is a credible reason to believe the company can become substantially larger. That may come from geographic expansion, additional services, improved sales capabilities, technology, acquisitions, or simply bringing greater resources to a business that has historically grown without much infrastructure.

The best businesses often have both qualities: a strong existing foundation and meaningful opportunities that have not yet been fully pursued.

Business Value and the Check You Receive Are Not the Same Thing

Owners also need to distinguish between the value of the business and the amount of cash they will receive at closing.

A $10 million enterprise value does not necessarily mean the seller receives a $10 million check.

Debt may need to be repaid. Working-capital requirements may affect the transaction. Taxes matter. Some consideration may take the form of seller financing, an earn-out, or retained equity rather than cash at closing.

Conversely, a seller may intentionally choose not to maximize cash at close.

An owner who believes strongly in the future of the company may prefer to take substantial liquidity today while retaining ownership alongside the new buyer. Another may value certainty above everything else and prefer more cash at closing even if another structure offers a higher theoretical total value.

This is why purchase price and deal structure should not be treated as separate conversations.

The highest headline valuation is not automatically the best economic outcome.

What Could the Business Be Worth Three Years From Now?

There is another valuation question that owners often overlook.

Instead of asking only, “What is my business worth today?” it can be useful to ask, “What could my business be worth if I spent the next two or three years improving the things a buyer will care about?”

Consider a company generating $1 million of EBITDA. Increasing earnings to $1.5 million obviously creates value. But imagine that during the same period the owner also reduces customer concentration, builds a stronger management team, improves financial reporting, develops more recurring revenue, and makes the company less dependent on himself.

The owner may have improved both sides of the valuation equation.

The company is producing more EBITDA, and those earnings may deserve a stronger multiple because the business itself has become more durable.

That combination can create substantially more value than simply squeezing additional profit out of the company before a sale.

For an owner who has time, understanding valuation early can therefore be extremely useful. It identifies where today's value is coming from and where tomorrow's value might be created.

A Valuation Is Ultimately a Conversation About the Future

There are sophisticated valuation models, comparable transactions, industry multiples, and plenty of rules of thumb. All of them can be useful.

But a buyer is ultimately purchasing the future cash flows of a business, not its historical financial statements.

The historical numbers provide evidence. The customers, employees, systems, reputation, management team, competitive position, and growth opportunities help determine how much confidence someone should place in those numbers continuing.

At Stormward Capital, that distinction matters to us. We are looking for profitable service businesses that we can own for a very long time. We care about EBITDA, but we care just as much about the durability of the company producing it.

For an owner thinking about selling—whether next year or five years from now—the most useful question may not be simply, “What multiple can I get?”

It may be:

“What would make someone want to own this business for the next twenty years?”

Build that company, and the valuation usually becomes a much better conversation.

A Confidential Conversation

Considering the Future of Your Business?

Stormward Capital acquires and operates profitable service businesses throughout the Midwest with a permanent ownership mindset.